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2024-12-14 10:21:20

China Merchants Securities: Investment Guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year From these four aspects, China Merchants Securities said that the investment guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year mainly include the following aspects: 1) From a macro perspective, the support intensity of policies for various economic work is expected to exceed market expectations. Specifically, the fiscal policy orientation is positive, deficit ratio will arrange or keep it above 3%, the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be further expanded, and the scale and investment field of special bonds are expected to be further extended; Monetary policy mentioned "timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates", and the goal of liquidity policy changed from balance to loose tendency, which will bring room for valuation improvement of A shares. 2) From the perspective of expanding domestic demand, consumption will become the main line of investment next year: the meeting will continue the deployment of the Politburo meeting in December, and in the order of writing, consumption will still be placed at the top of next year's key tasks. In terms of specific measures, it is planned to boost consumption mainly through two aspects. First, increase the income of residents; The second is to increase consumption scenarios. 3) Focus on scientific and technological innovation to lead the development of new quality productive forces, and grasp two main lines: this meeting focused on "carrying out' artificial intelligence+'action and cultivating future industries". Artificial intelligence has appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for three consecutive years. Future industries have also appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for two consecutive years. Therefore, it is recommended to focus on artificial intelligence+and future industries. 4) Focus on "comprehensive improvement of' involution' competition": In terms of "involution" competition, photovoltaic industry is the representative in emerging industries. Recently, in addition to self-regulatory measures such as industry association initiatives, the photovoltaic export tax rebate rate has been lowered and industry norms have been updated to further control new production capacity. The policy is further introduced to curb the "involution" competition of photovoltaics. It is recommended to pay attention to photovoltaic, lithium battery and other industries.More than 100 underground money houses have been destroyed by public security organs to crack down on the money-changing party. The Ministry of Public Security held a press conference today (13th) to inform the public security organs throughout the country of the effectiveness of measures to crack down on the money-changing party and derivative crimes. According to the press conference, in May 2024, the Ministry of Public Security deployed the national public security organs to carry out special work to crack down on the rectification of the "money exchange party" and derivative crimes, cracked a series of cases, arrested a group of "money exchange party" personnel, and smashed a group of "underground money houses". The whole chain destroyed a group of criminal gangs and achieved remarkable results. Since the action, the Ministry of Public Security has listed and supervised 16 major cases; The National Immigration Bureau instructed the border inspection authorities in Zhuhai, Shenzhen, Guangzhou and other places to actively cooperate with the special work class to carry out verification and disposal and personnel transfer. Since the special action, 142 personnel of the "money exchange party" have been seized and handed over to the special work class according to law. A total of 263 derivative criminal gangs suspected of illegal business operations, organizing illegal border crossing, fraud, illegal detention, etc. were destroyed in various places, and more than 100 underground money houses were destroyed, and more than 80 billion yuan of funds involved were identified. The headquarters in front of the Ministry of Public Security further strengthened the clues, organized relevant provinces to carry out five centralized arrests, arrested 846 suspects and cracked a number of major cases.The yield of China's 30-year national debt "24 Special National Debt 06" fell below 2%, hitting a new low.


It is predicted that the State Council Press Office will hold a press conference at 10 am on Monday, December 16th, 2024, and ask Fu Linghui, spokesperson of the National Bureau of Statistics and head of the National Economic Statistics Department, to introduce the national economic operation in November 2024 and answer questions from reporters.The implementation of personal pension system will bring multiple impacts. According to CCTV news, the implementation of personal pension system will have a far-reaching impact on China's old-age security system. This system aims to improve the multi-level old-age security system, encourage individuals to participate in old-age savings, and improve the level of life security after retirement. In addition, the establishment of individual pension accounts will provide new business growth points for financial institutions and help the development of the capital market. On the whole, this move is expected to promote the transformation of the concept of social pension and promote the sustainable development of the pension service industry.Saudi institutions are optimistic about China's "huge investment opportunities" in the fields of health care and biotechnology. Ekta Torani, chief investment officer of Saudi KBW Venture Capital Company, recently said in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates that with the increasingly close economic and trade ties between the Gulf region and China, the institution is optimistic about China's "huge investment opportunities" in the fields of health care and biotechnology.


Mitsubishi electric: We are discussing cooperation with Japanese domestic competitors to develop power chips. Qi Jianqi, president of mitsubishi electric, Japan, said in an interview that the company is discussing cooperation with Japanese domestic competitors to develop power chips. Qi Jianqi said that although the management widely supported the cooperation, the above discussion was blocked at the administrative level and no progress was made. Qi Jianqi pointed out that the power chip industry needs continuous technological innovation, and it is meaningful to cooperate while there is still a chance to win market share. "We should not compete with each other, but need to unite.".SHIBOR reported 1.4040% overnight, down by 7.80 basis points. In 7 days, SHIBOR reported 1.7580%, up 12.30 basis points. SHIBOR reported 1.7350% in three months, down by 0.50 basis point.What is the significance of fiscal and monetary policy adjustment? Expert: The path of "more active and promising" fiscal policy has been clarified. The Central Economic Work Conference, which closed yesterday, pointed out that a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy should be implemented next year. What kind of signals are released behind these policies? In terms of fiscal policy, the Central Economic Work Conference requested that a more active fiscal policy should be implemented next year, so as to improve the fiscal deficit ratio, increase the issuance of ultra-long-term special government bonds, increase the issuance of special bonds for local governments, optimize the structure of fiscal expenditure, and secure the bottom line of "three guarantees" at the grassroots level. Experts said that these requirements clarified the path of "more active and promising" fiscal policy. Focusing on vigorously boosting consumption, the Central Economic Work Conference requires that special actions to boost consumption should be implemented next year, the basic pension for retirees should be appropriately raised, and the "two new" policies (large-scale equipment renewal and trade-in of consumer goods) should be implemented. (CCTV News)

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